Delhi exit polls predict BJP's win after 27 long years in big jolt to Arvind Kejriwal
Exit polls are projections conducted by election survey agencies based on interviews with voters immediately after they have cast their ballots. These surveys aim to provide an early indication of the possible outcome of an election, offering insights into voter preferences and trends before the official results are declared. However, these may vary widely from the actual results.
Let's have a look at projections by different agencies:
AGENCIES | AAP | BJP+ | CONGRESS |
Matrize | 32-37 | 35-40 | 0-1 |
People's Pulse | 10-19 | 51-40 | 0-0 |
Chanakya Strategies | 25-28 | 39-44 | 2-3 |
JVC | 10-19 | 51-60 | 0-0 |
Peoples Insight | 25-29 | 40-44 | 0-1 |
Poll Diary | 18-25 | 42-50 | 0-2 |
P-MARQ | 22-31 | 39-49 | 0-1 |
Wee Preside | 46-52 | 18-23 | 0-1 |
Mind Brink | 44-49 | 21-25 | 0-1 |
What are Exit Polls?
Exit polls are quick surveys conducted immediately after people vote, in an attempt to gauge the sentiments of voters following the exercise of their right to vote. Unlike regular opinion polls done before elections, exit polls ask voters who they actually voted for, making them more accurate. They typically start being released right after voting ends on final election day and are conducted by interviewing voters as they leave polling stations. In India, exit polls were almost developed indigenously by the pioneering Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) in Delhi during the 1960s.
Why are Exit Polls important?
Exit polls are important for several reasons. Firstly, they provide an early indication of election results before the official count is completed. Media outlets use this information to inform their audience about potential outcomes, generating significant public interest. Additionally, exit polls can also influence stock markets as well as the political discourse in the country. It is important to interpret Exit Polls with caution, as they can be affected by sampling errors, biases, and differences in voter demographics. While they provide useful insights and help set expectations, they should not be viewed as definitive predictors of election outcomes.
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